Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000122 0.000134 0.000148 0.000164 0.000181 0.000201 0.000223
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000117 0.000138 0.000165 0.000198 0.000236 0.000286
2025-07-20 0.000085 0.000106 0.000133 0.000168 0.000213 0.000271 0.000350
2025-07-27 0.000074 0.000096 0.000126 0.000166 0.000222 0.000297 0.000406
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000091 0.000123 0.000169 0.000236 0.000329 0.000472
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000084 0.000117 0.000167 0.000241 0.000350 0.000524
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000078 0.000112 0.000165 0.000247 0.000371 0.000580
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000073 0.000107 0.000162 0.000250 0.000388 0.000629
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000067 0.000101 0.000157 0.000249 0.000398 0.000668
2025-09-07 0.000042 0.000064 0.000099 0.000157 0.000256 0.000423 0.000734
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000062 0.000098 0.000159 0.000267 0.000454 0.000816
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000058 0.000094 0.000156 0.000269 0.000469 0.000869
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000054 0.000088 0.000150 0.000264 0.000473 0.000904
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000150 0.000272 0.000503 0.000997
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000050 0.000085 0.000153 0.000284 0.000540 0.001110
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000152 0.000289 0.000565 0.001201
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000046 0.000082 0.000154 0.000301 0.000606 0.001333
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000044 0.000080 0.000152 0.000304 0.000627 0.001423
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000077 0.000150 0.000308 0.000651 0.001524
2025-11-16 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000148 0.000308 0.000668 0.001609
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000143 0.000304 0.000674 0.001669
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000143 0.000311 0.000706 0.001802
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000145 0.000322 0.000750 0.001976